Journal Articles
Policy dynamics and electoral uncertainty in the appointments process
By incorporating electoral uncertainty and policy dynamics into three two-period models of the
appointments process, we show that gridlock may not always occur under divided government,
contrary to the findings of static one-shot appointments models. In these cases, contrary to the
ally principle familiar to students of bureaucratic politics, the president or the confirmer is
willing to move the court away from his or her ideal point as a way to insulate against worse
outcomes in period two. By demonstrating how a simple set of changes to a workhorse model
can change equilibrium outcomes significantly, this paper provides a foundation for
reconsidering the static approach to studying political appointments.
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