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Do Candidate Positions Matter? The Effect of the Gay Marriage Question on Gub…
This article demonstrates that candidate positions on the ballot measure to ban gay marriage had an effect on gubernatorial voting. With exit poll data from three states in 2006, we find that the effect of support for the ban is at least twice as large when the candidates adopted divergent positions. Support for the ban has a smaller but significant effect on vote choice when the candidate posi…
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- Vol. 38 no. 1, January 2010. pp. 142-164
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
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- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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A Matter of Distinction: Candidate Polarization and Information Processing in…
Because Republican and Democratic elites have polarized in recent decades, American voters increasingly face choices between candidates who hold divergent policy positions. Such a development has potential implications for the way voters process information during campaigns and choose between candidates on election day. Drawing on research in political psychology and using a nationally represen…
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- Vol. 38 no. 1, January 2010. pp. 165-192
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
- Collation
- -
- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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Voter Ideology and Candidate Positioning in the 2008 Presidential Election
Although classic Downsian theory predicts that candidates should converge to the ideological position of the median voter in the electorate, American elections generally feature major party candidates who offer divergent policy positions. Employing a survey and statistical estimation technique that allows for the estimation of the ideological position of candidates on the same scale as the dist…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010, pp. 195-210
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- 1532673x
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- -
- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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Voter Mobilization and the Obama Victory
As with the other presidential elections from this decade, the 2008 election was followed by considerable speculation as to how new efforts to mobilize voters affected the eventual outcome. Although the conventional wisdom implies that “Democrats benefit from higher turnout,” previous research in political science demonstrates that such a conclusion applies to actual election results inconsiste…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010. pp. 211-232
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
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- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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Revisiting the Divisive Primary Hypothesis: 2008 and the Clinton—Obama Nomi…
The 2008 Democratic primary was marked by divisiveness as notable as its historic candidates. And while Barack Obama won the general election,political scientists would be remiss in studying divisive primary effects only when they are electorally decisive. Accordingly, we examine this largely forgotten storyline, searching for these effects throughout different segments of the electorate. Our a…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010. pp 233-265
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
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- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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What Made Carolina Blue? In-Migration and the 2008 North Carolina Presidentia…
In this article, we examine the role that in-migration played in contributing to the 2008 Democratic presidential victory in North Carolina. Prior to Barack Obama, the last time the Tar Heel State was carried by a Democrat was Jimmy Carter in 1976. Since the late 1980s, North Carolina has undergone tremendous demographic change. In addition to a growing Hispanic population that is primarily com…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010, pp. 266-302
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
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- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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Political Advertising and Persuasion in the 2004 and 2008 Presidential Elections
The 2008 presidential election was historic in many respects. The campaign included the first African American major-party candidate, and neither candidate was an incumbent president or vice president. In addition, one candidate took public funding and the other candidate did not. This latter disparity resulted in an imbalance of resources across the two campaigns, especially in the purchase of…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010. pp. 303-329
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
- Collation
- -
- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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The Appeal of Second Bananas: The Impact of Vice Presidential Candidates on P…
To what extent do vice presidential candidates affect individual-level vote choice for president? The accepted wisdom is that vice presidential candidates are of minor importance to most voters. Yet much energy was spent discussing the potential impact of Biden and Palin as vice presidential candidates. Here, the impact that attitudes toward Palin and Biden had on vote choice in the 2008 electi…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010. pp. 330-355
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
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- American Politics Research
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Were Newspapers More Interested in Pro-Obama Letters to the Editor in 2008? E…
During the 2008 presidential election, the authors submitted letters to the editor at 100 major U.S. newspapers as part of a field experiment to test whether interest in the letter depended on which candidate the letter supported. The authors find, contrary to what charges of a liberal media bias would suggest, that newspapers expressed more interest in pro-McCain letters than pro-Obama letters…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010. pp. 356-371
- ISBN/ISSN
- 1532673x
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- Series Title
- American Politics Research
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Priming Bush and Iraq in 2008: A Survey Experiment
Using a question-order experiment, half the respondents in a national RDD (random digit dial) likely voter survey taken just prior to the 2008 Presidential Primary election were primed to think about President Bush and the war in Iraq before making their candidate choice. Results show that the priming had a significant effect on their candidate choice, and that priming individuals to think abou…
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- Vol. 38 no. 2, March 2010. pp. 372-394
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- 1532673x
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- American Politics Research
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Validation of the Crime and Violence Scale (CVS) Against the Rasch Measuremen…
In assessing criminality, researchers have used counts of crimes, arrests, and so on, because interval measures were not available. Additionally, crime seriousness varies depending on demographic factors. This study examined the Crime and Violence Scale (CVS) regarding psychometric quality using item response theory (IRT) and invariance of the crime seriousness hierarchy for gender, age, and ra…
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- Vol. 34 no. 2 April 2010, pp. 83-115
- ISBN/ISSN
- 0193841x
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- -
- Series Title
- Evaluation Review
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Intimate Partner Violence at the Scene: Incident Characteristics and Implicat…
Using data that, to our knowledge, have not been used before for this purpose, we examined 9,231 opposite-sex intimate partner violence (IPV) calls for law enforcement assistance recorded in the Compstat system of a large U.S. city. Although women were the predominant victims, injuries were documented more often for men. Only about 1% of incidents were considered a restraining order violation, …
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- Vol. 34 no. 2 April 2010, pp.16-136
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- 0193841x
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- -
- Series Title
- Evaluation Review
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Comparison of Paper-and-Pencil Versus Web Administration of the Youth Risk Be…
The authors examined whether paper-and-pencil and Web surveys administered in the school setting yield equivalent risk behavior prevalence estimates. Data were from a methods study conducted by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in spring 2008. Intact classes of 9th- or 10th-grade students were assigned randomly to complete a survey via paper-and-pencil or Web. Data from 5,227…
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- Vol. 34 no. 2 April 2010, pp. 137-153
- ISBN/ISSN
- 0193841x
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- Evaluation Review
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From Partnerships to Networks: New Approaches for Measuring U.S. National Her…
National Heritage Areas (NHAs) are an alternative and increasingly popular form of protected area management in the United States. NHAs seek to integrate environmental objectives with community and economic objectives at regional or landscape scales. NHA designations have increased rapidly in the last 20 years, generating a substantial need for evaluative information about (a) how NHAs work; (b…
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- Vol. 34 no. 4 August 2010, pp. 271-298
- ISBN/ISSN
- 0193841x
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- Evaluation Review
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Contracting for Independent Evaluation: Approaches to an Inherent Tension
There has recently been discussion of whether independent contract evaluation is possible. This article acknowledges the inherent tension in contract evaluation and in response suggests a range of constructive approaches to improving the independence of contract evaluation. In particular, a clear separation between the official evaluation report and a contractor’s own publication of analysis fr…
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- Vol. 34 no. 4 August 2010, pp. 299-333
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- 0193841x
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- Evaluation Review
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Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: What Does a Regression Estimate?
Regressions that control for confounding factors are the workhorse of evaluation research. When treatment effects are heterogeneous, however, the workhorse regression leads to estimated treatment effects that lack behavioral interpretations even when the selection on observables assumption holds. Regressions that use propensity scores as weights and regressions based on random coefficients or h…
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- Vol. 34 no. 4 August 2010, pp. 334-361
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- 0193841x
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- Evaluation Review
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The Organ of Experience: A Defense of the Primacy of Public Administrators in…
Building on Wilsonian foundations, this article present the normative case for a special, central role for public servants in the design and redesign of public law, including constitutions. Central to the author’s argument are Wilson’s characterization of public administration as “the State’s experiencing organ” and his contention that public administration is the primary institution engaged da…
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- Vol. 42 no. 3 May 2010. pp. 263-286
- ISBN/ISSN
- 00953997
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- Series Title
- Administration & Society
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A Security Preface to 21st-Century Public Administration
The use of lethal technologies by global terror networks has elevated domestic security policy to a central concern of 21st-century public administration. Twentieth-century public administration scholars, influenced by Progressivism, Pluralism, and Public Choice, led the field to believe that it could both develop and administer domestic security policy without a coherent state theory to guide …
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- Vol. 42 no. 3 May 2010 pp. 287-314
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- 00953997
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- -
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- Administration & Society
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The Relationship Between Intervention by Central/Federal or Local Levels of G…
What impact do interventions by central/federal or local levels of government in local emergency preparedness training have on the focus of training, comprehensiveness, and quality control? An analysis of two cases of intervention by central/federal levels of government reveals that training is likely to be (a) skill oriented and competence framed, (b) comprehensive, and (c) quality controlled …
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- Vol. 42 no. 3 May 2010 pp. 315-342
- ISBN/ISSN
- 00953997
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- -
- Series Title
- Administration & Society
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Interorganizational Collaboration and the Transition to the Department of Hom…
The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) transition has shown problems between executive political leadership, management associations, and labor unions, despite “collaborative efforts,” resulting in bureaucratic inertia. This means slower incremental changes for proposed personnel reforms based on private business models advocated by presidential administrations in recent years. The author su…
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- Vol. 42 no. 3 May 2010. pp. 343-360
- ISBN/ISSN
- 00953997
- Collation
- -
- Series Title
- Administration & Society
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